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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't

Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaste…

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On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything

From the New York Times bestselling author of The Signal and the Noise, the definitive guide to our era of risk—and the players raising the stakes In the bestselling The Signal and the Noise, Nate Sil…

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Algorithms to Live By: The Computer Science of Human Decisions

A fascinating exploration of how insights from computer algorithms can be applied to our everyday lives, helping to solve common decision-making problems and illuminate the workings of the human mind

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Vector: A Surprising Story of Space, Time, and Mathematical Transformation

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Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World

A captivating and user-friendly tour of Bayes’s theorem and its global impact on modern life from the acclaimed science writer and author of The Rationalist’s Guide to the Galaxy .

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The (Mis)Behavior of Markets

Benoit B. Mandelbrot, one of the century's most influential mathematicians, is world-famous for making mathematical sense of a fact everybody knows but that geometers from Euclid on down had never Clo…

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Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies You Can Use to Make Giant Leaps in Work and Life

Named a "must read" by Susan Cain, "endlessly fascinating" by Daniel Pink, and "bursting with practical insights" by Adam Grant.

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The Singularity Is Nearer: When We Merge with AI

The noted inventor and futurist’s successor to his landmark book The Singularity Is Near explores how technology will transform the human race in the decades to come

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The Scout Mindset: Why Some People See Things Clearly and Others Don't

When it comes to what we believe, humans see what they want to see. In other words, we have what Julia Galef calls a soldier mindset. From tribalism and wishful thinking, to rationalizing in our perso…

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The Coming Wave: Technology, Power, and the Twenty-first Century's Greatest Dilemma

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The Crux: How Leaders Become Strategists

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The Algebra of Wealth: A Simple Formula for Financial Security

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Empire: How Britain Made the Modern World

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The Ten Equations That Rule the World: And How You Can Use Them Too

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